Climate change impact on economic and irrigation requirements for sugarcane crop in Egypt
Keywords:
Evapotranspiration, GIS, water use efficiency, climate change scenarios, adaptation optionsAbstract
Availability of irrigation water is considered one of the major challenges faced by Egypt during current time and will be more difficult in the future with the limited water resources and linearly increase of population. The current study investigates irrigation demand for sugarcane cultivation areas in the Middle and Upper Egypt Governorates (Menia, Asyut, Sohag, Qena, Luxor and Aswan) during current time and under RCPs scenarios. The current data was collected from 1971 till 2000. The RCP data were collected for different scenarios (RCP 3, RCP 4.5, RCP 6 and RCP 8.5) during three time series (2011-2040, 2041-2070 and 2071-2100). The highest evapotranspiration values during current and future conditions was found in Luxor and Aswan governorates; while the lowest evapotranspiration values were recorded in Menia and Asyut. All RCPs scenarios were significantly higher than current conditions. Moreover, the highest irrigation requirements under RCP scenarios were recorded in Aswan and Luxor under RCP 8.5 during 2071-2100 time series. While the lowest irrigation requirement under climate change were found in Menia under RCP3 during 2011-2040 time series. Irrigation requirement for sugarcane under current and future condition was demonstrated by interpolated maps.
References
Abdrabbo MAA, Samiha Ouda, Tahany Noreldin (2013) Modeling the Irrigation Schedule on Wheat under Climate Change Conditions. Nature and Science 11: 10-18.
Abdrabbo MA, Farag A A, El-Desokey WMS (2015) Implementing of RCPs Scenarios for the Prediction of Evapotranspiration in Egypt. International Journal of Plant & Soil Science 6(1): 50-63.
Allen RG, Pereira LS, Raes D, Smith M (1998) Crop evapotranspiration: Guidelines for computing crop requirements. Irrigation and Drainage Paper No. 56, FAO, Rome, Italy.
Bonnett GT, Hewitt ML, Glassop D (2006). Effects of high temperature on the growth and composition of sugarcane internodes. Australian J. Agric. Res. 57(10):1087-1095.
Chandiposha M, (2013) Potential impact of climate change in sugarcane and mitigation strategies in Zimbabwe. Afr. J. Agric. Res. 8 (23): 2814-2818.
ESRI (2012). ArcGIS Geostatistical Analysis. Tutorial (ArcGIS ®10.1). Printed in the United States of America.
Farag AA, Abdrabbo MAA, Ahmed MSM (2014) GIS Tool for Distribution Reference Evapotranspiration under Climate Change in Egypt. ; IJPSS, ISSN: 2320-7035, 3(6): 575- 588.
Farag, AA, Abdrabbo MA, Manal MH, Gad EL-Moula (2015) Water requirements for potato production under climate change. Global Journal for Advanced Research. 2(9): PP. 1371-1389.
Fischer G, Tubiello FN, Velthuizen H van, Wiberg DA (2007) Climate change nimpacts on irrigation water requirements: Effects of mitigation, 1990-2080. Technological Forecasting & Social Change 74: 1083-1107.
Goovaerts P (2000) Geostatistical approaches for incorporating elevation into the spatial interpolation of rainfall. Journal of Hydrology 228: 113-129.
Hamdy A (2007) Water Use Efficiency in Irrigated Agriculture: an Analytical Review, in Water Use Efficiency and Water Productivity, Lamaddalena, N., Shatanawi, M., Todorovic, M., Bogliott, C., and Albrizio R., eds., Proceedings of the fourth WASAMED workshop, Amman, Jordan, Option Mediterranean Series, CIHAM, B. n. 57.
Hanafy M, Mahrous A, El Garib MZ (2008) Water requirements for irrigated sugarcane under trickle irrigation systems. Misr J. Ag. Eng., 25(4): 1343-1357.
Joe Henggeler, Henry, Kenny.N.C (2004) Measuring Diesel Fuel Consumption to Estimate Engine Efficiency, University of Missouri.
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) (2013), Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. THE PHYSICAL SCIENCE BASIS. Contribution of Working Group I- TWELFTH SESSION- to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, pp. 15-29.
IPCC: Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (2007) Climate change 2007: the physical science basis. Summary for policymakers. Contribution of working group I and II to the third assessment report of the IPCC. IPCC Secretariat, Geneva, Switzerland.
Knox JW, Rodríguez Díaz JA, Nixon DJ, Mkhwanazi M (2010) A preliminary assessment of climate change impacts on sugarcane in Swaziland. Agricultural Systems 103(2): 63-72.
Knutti, R, Hegerl GC (2008) The equilibrium sensitivity of the Earth's temperature to radiation changes. Nature Geosci. 1, 735-743.
Krol MS, Bronstert A (2007) Regional integrated modeling of climate change impacts on natural resources and resource usage in semi-arid Northeast Brazil. Environ. Model. Softw., 22(2), 259-268.
Lobell DB, Burke MB, Tebaldi C, Mastrandrea MD, Falcon WP, Naylor RL (2008) Prioritizing climate change adaptation needs for food security in 2030. Science 319:607-610.
Naohiro A, Takahide K (2015).Development of high efficiency water pump, Honda R & D technical review pp 30-36
Nour El-Din M (2013) Proposed Climate Change Adaptation Strategy for the Ministry of Water Resources & Irrigation in Egypt. Available: http://www.eeaa.gov.eg/English/reports/CCRMP/7.%20CC%20Water%20Strategy/CC%20Final%20Submitted%208-March%202013%20AdptStrtgy.pdf
Rasheed R, Wahid A, Farooq M, Hussain I, Basra S M A (2011). Role of proline and glycine betaine pretreatments in improving heat tolerance of sprouting sugarcane (Saccharum sp.) bud. Plant Growth Regul 65: 35–45.
SAS. Statistical Analysis System, SAS User’s Guide: Statistics. SAS Institute Inc. Editors, Cary, NC. 2000
Smith, M, Allen R, Pereira L (1996) Proceeding of the International Conference of Evapotranspiration and Irrigation scheduling", American; Society of Agricultural Engineers, 3-6 November, Texas, USA.
Jim Thompson, Robert Curley, Jerry Knutson1 (2002) REDUCING WATER PUMPING COSTS, Agricultural Engineering Dept. UC Davis One Shields Ave., Davis,CA 95616.
Abdrabbo MA, Farag A A, El-Desokey WMS (2015) Implementing of RCPs Scenarios for the Prediction of Evapotranspiration in Egypt. International Journal of Plant & Soil Science 6(1): 50-63.
Allen RG, Pereira LS, Raes D, Smith M (1998) Crop evapotranspiration: Guidelines for computing crop requirements. Irrigation and Drainage Paper No. 56, FAO, Rome, Italy.
Bonnett GT, Hewitt ML, Glassop D (2006). Effects of high temperature on the growth and composition of sugarcane internodes. Australian J. Agric. Res. 57(10):1087-1095.
Chandiposha M, (2013) Potential impact of climate change in sugarcane and mitigation strategies in Zimbabwe. Afr. J. Agric. Res. 8 (23): 2814-2818.
ESRI (2012). ArcGIS Geostatistical Analysis. Tutorial (ArcGIS ®10.1). Printed in the United States of America.
Farag AA, Abdrabbo MAA, Ahmed MSM (2014) GIS Tool for Distribution Reference Evapotranspiration under Climate Change in Egypt. ; IJPSS, ISSN: 2320-7035, 3(6): 575- 588.
Farag, AA, Abdrabbo MA, Manal MH, Gad EL-Moula (2015) Water requirements for potato production under climate change. Global Journal for Advanced Research. 2(9): PP. 1371-1389.
Fischer G, Tubiello FN, Velthuizen H van, Wiberg DA (2007) Climate change nimpacts on irrigation water requirements: Effects of mitigation, 1990-2080. Technological Forecasting & Social Change 74: 1083-1107.
Goovaerts P (2000) Geostatistical approaches for incorporating elevation into the spatial interpolation of rainfall. Journal of Hydrology 228: 113-129.
Hamdy A (2007) Water Use Efficiency in Irrigated Agriculture: an Analytical Review, in Water Use Efficiency and Water Productivity, Lamaddalena, N., Shatanawi, M., Todorovic, M., Bogliott, C., and Albrizio R., eds., Proceedings of the fourth WASAMED workshop, Amman, Jordan, Option Mediterranean Series, CIHAM, B. n. 57.
Hanafy M, Mahrous A, El Garib MZ (2008) Water requirements for irrigated sugarcane under trickle irrigation systems. Misr J. Ag. Eng., 25(4): 1343-1357.
Joe Henggeler, Henry, Kenny.N.C (2004) Measuring Diesel Fuel Consumption to Estimate Engine Efficiency, University of Missouri.
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) (2013), Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. THE PHYSICAL SCIENCE BASIS. Contribution of Working Group I- TWELFTH SESSION- to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, pp. 15-29.
IPCC: Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (2007) Climate change 2007: the physical science basis. Summary for policymakers. Contribution of working group I and II to the third assessment report of the IPCC. IPCC Secretariat, Geneva, Switzerland.
Knox JW, Rodríguez Díaz JA, Nixon DJ, Mkhwanazi M (2010) A preliminary assessment of climate change impacts on sugarcane in Swaziland. Agricultural Systems 103(2): 63-72.
Knutti, R, Hegerl GC (2008) The equilibrium sensitivity of the Earth's temperature to radiation changes. Nature Geosci. 1, 735-743.
Krol MS, Bronstert A (2007) Regional integrated modeling of climate change impacts on natural resources and resource usage in semi-arid Northeast Brazil. Environ. Model. Softw., 22(2), 259-268.
Lobell DB, Burke MB, Tebaldi C, Mastrandrea MD, Falcon WP, Naylor RL (2008) Prioritizing climate change adaptation needs for food security in 2030. Science 319:607-610.
Naohiro A, Takahide K (2015).Development of high efficiency water pump, Honda R & D technical review pp 30-36
Nour El-Din M (2013) Proposed Climate Change Adaptation Strategy for the Ministry of Water Resources & Irrigation in Egypt. Available: http://www.eeaa.gov.eg/English/reports/CCRMP/7.%20CC%20Water%20Strategy/CC%20Final%20Submitted%208-March%202013%20AdptStrtgy.pdf
Rasheed R, Wahid A, Farooq M, Hussain I, Basra S M A (2011). Role of proline and glycine betaine pretreatments in improving heat tolerance of sprouting sugarcane (Saccharum sp.) bud. Plant Growth Regul 65: 35–45.
SAS. Statistical Analysis System, SAS User’s Guide: Statistics. SAS Institute Inc. Editors, Cary, NC. 2000
Smith, M, Allen R, Pereira L (1996) Proceeding of the International Conference of Evapotranspiration and Irrigation scheduling", American; Society of Agricultural Engineers, 3-6 November, Texas, USA.
Jim Thompson, Robert Curley, Jerry Knutson1 (2002) REDUCING WATER PUMPING COSTS, Agricultural Engineering Dept. UC Davis One Shields Ave., Davis,CA 95616.
Downloads
Published
2021-02-12
How to Cite
Abdrabbo, M. A., A. A, F., H. A., R., Heggi, M. A. M. ., Aboelsoud, H. M., Singla, C. ., & Sharda, R. . (2021). Climate change impact on economic and irrigation requirements for sugarcane crop in Egypt. Future of Food: Journal on Food, Agriculture and Society, 9(2). Retrieved from https://thefutureoffoodjournal.com/manuscript/index.php/FOFJ/article/view/303
Issue
Section
Research Articles